42analytics Information

42Analytics develops methods for making better decisions under uncertainty. We build and validate decision methodologies across real-world domains — including seafood markets, engineering systems, and agricultural commodities. Our research is public. Our evidence is measurable. Our products demonstrate the methodology in practice. The core method is Decision Geometry: encoding market states as geometric objects, retrieving historical analogues by proximity in a shared representation space, and transporting their trajectories through current conditions to produce probabilistic forecasts. Every claim is tested out-of-sample. Failure modes are documented alongside results. FishFacts — our first deployed product — has produced 76,001 independently verified price forecasts for Peterhead demersal fish markets, with 82.2% P80 calibration coverage and 67% directional accuracy at H3–H10. The methodology has also been applied to oil and gas well planning and UK livestock markets. We publish research notes, methodology papers, and evidence updates. If you are building decision systems in energy, commodities, or adjacent industries — or if you are an organisation where consequential decisions are made under structural uncertainty — we would like to hear from you. Research: 42analytics.co.uk/research Evidence: 42analytics.co.uk/evidence Method: 42analytics.co.uk/method